Climate Economics and Seasonal Forecasts

Our group focuses on climate economics research and the development of sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts. We also study how climate change affects the skill of sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts.

The main focus areas of our group

• We study and assess the societal and socio-economic, particularly economic, impacts of climate change and adaptation, and we conduct economic modelling.

• We develop innovative methods for weather, sub‑seasonal, and seasonal forecasting, as well as climate‑change indicators.

• We develop and test operational sub-seasonal and seasonal forecast services.

• We develop and promote climate education.

Stakeholder cooperation

• We are represented in a climate change working group of Actuarial Society of Finland led by the Financial Supervisory Authority (FIN-FSA).

• We cooperate with the Helsinki University environment economics e.g. in supervising theses and dissertations.

Examples of notable outputs

Our experts have been involved in producing several research publications and training courses about climate change:

Reports

• Arctic services impact assessments and generalisation (Arctic PASSION)

• Assessing operative and economic cost

• Socio-economic Benefits of the EPS Sterna constellation at high latitudes

Articles

• Urban resilience to extreme weather – sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts for winter maintenance activities in Helsinki

• Classifying extratropical cyclones and their impact on Finland's electricity grid: insights from 92 damaging windstorms

• The probabilistic skill of extended-range heat wave forecasts over Europe

Training/education

• University of Helsinki: Specialisation programme in climate expertise

• Climate University: Living with changing climate