News 26.7.2022
New component improves weather probability forecasts
The study added a new component to the ensemble forecasting model also used to support weather forecasting in Finland.

The new model component will be included in the operational ensemble forecasting during 2022. After deployment, it improves the usefulness of the probability forecast provided alongside weather forecasts.
Further information:
Researcher Pirkka Ollinaho, Finnish Meteorological Institute, p. 050 596 3449, pirkka.ollinaho@fmi.fi The scientific article is available on Monthly Weather Review.
Reference: Frogner, Inger-Lise, Ulf Andrae, Pirkka Ollinaho, Alan Hally, Karoliina Hämäläinen, Janne Kauhanen, Karl-Ivar Ivarsson, and Daniel Yazgi. " Model Uncertainty Representation in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble - SPP and SPPT in HarmonEPS", Monthly Weather Review 150, 4 (2022): 775-795, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0099.1
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