Science news archive

« Back

Statistics give additional impetus to interpreting climate forecasts

Statistics give additional impetus to interpreting climate forecasts

More efficient statistical processing improved our understanding about the function and variation of the climate system. It is also a well-founded assumption that a more widespread use of advanced statistical methods would lead to more sensible rafting of forecasts.

Only a small portion of the vast number of climate model results has been researched. The writers of a fresh study are questioning the planning and interpretation of current climate forecasts. 

More information:

Research professor Petteri Uotila, tel. +358 50 361 0587, petteri.uotila@fmi.fi,

Benestad, R., Sillmann, J., Thorarinsdottir, T. L., Guttorp, P., d. S.  Mesquita, M., Tye, M. R., Uotila, P., Fox Maule, C., Thejll, P., Drews, M., and Parding, K., New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue, Nature Climate Change, 7(10), 697–703, doi:10.1038/nclimate3393 (2017).

http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v7/n10/full/nclimate3393.html?foxtrotcallback=true


Research

The Finnish Meteorological Institute is a leading expert in meteorology, air quality, climate change, earth observation, marine and arctic research areas. FMI is in a unique position to study various themes of climate change in the Northern context.

 

High-quality observational data and research is utilized to develop services to benefit our everyday life. Visible examples are improvement of weather forecasts, development of new expert and warning services as well as applications of the newest research results.