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Statistics give additional impetus to interpreting climate forecasts

Statistics give additional impetus to interpreting climate forecasts

More efficient statistical processing improved our understanding about the function and variation of the climate system. It is also a well-founded assumption that a more widespread use of advanced statistical methods would lead to more sensible rafting of forecasts.

Only a small portion of the vast number of climate model results has been researched. The writers of a fresh study are questioning the planning and interpretation of current climate forecasts. 

More information:

Research professor Petteri Uotila, tel. +358 50 361 0587,,

Benestad, R., Sillmann, J., Thorarinsdottir, T. L., Guttorp, P., d. S.  Mesquita, M., Tye, M. R., Uotila, P., Fox Maule, C., Thejll, P., Drews, M., and Parding, K., New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue, Nature Climate Change, 7(10), 697–703, doi:10.1038/nclimate3393 (2017).


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