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The Finnish Meteorological Institute is a leading expert in meteorology, air quality, climate change, earth observation, marine and arctic research areas.

FMI's researchers publish about 300 peer-reviewed articles annually.

In Science News we publish current information about FMI's studies on the weather, the sea and the climate.

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Statistics give additional impetus to interpreting climate forecasts

Statistics give additional impetus to interpreting climate forecasts

More efficient statistical processing improved our understanding about the function and variation of the climate system. It is also a well-founded assumption that a more widespread use of advanced statistical methods would lead to more sensible rafting of forecasts.

Only a small portion of the vast number of climate model results has been researched. The writers of a fresh study are questioning the planning and interpretation of current climate forecasts. 

More information:

Research professor Petteri Uotila, tel. +358 50 361 0587,,

Benestad, R., Sillmann, J., Thorarinsdottir, T. L., Guttorp, P., d. S.  Mesquita, M., Tye, M. R., Uotila, P., Fox Maule, C., Thejll, P., Drews, M., and Parding, K., New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue, Nature Climate Change, 7(10), 697–703, doi:10.1038/nclimate3393 (2017).

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FMI publications

FMI researchers produce some 300 publications annually, the majority of them in international scientific journals. Research results are also published in FMI´ss own publications series. FMI`s own series are:

* FMI Contributions: high-quality peer-reviewed research results, mainly doctoral dissertations

* FMI Reports: current research results mainly for customers and other stakeholders

All publications from 2016 onwards can be found on Helda.