Early warnings

Early warnings supplement the normal warnings that extend up to 24 hours. The purpose of the early warnings is to provide information on dangerous or adverse weather events earlier than before, usually three days in advance. The exceptions are warnings on hot weather spells and severe frost, which can be issued as much as five days in advance, and warnings on thunderstorm wind gusts, which are issued two days in advance.

The weather events and risk levels are the same as in the 24-hour warnings, but not all warnings apply the lowest or highest risk level. The lowest warning levels have sometimes been eliminated because the warning is repeated so often (reducing the impact of the warning). The highest risk levels are mainly in use for events that give rise to the greatest direct danger.

The wording of the early warning texts differs from that of the 24-hour warnings. The texts describe the probability of the events, which means the probability that the event will occur in a randomly selected 100 x 100 km square within the danger zone at the time stated.

The early warnings were adopted in April 2011.

The events, the risk levels in use, the probability limits and other characteristics are listed in the table below. The regional limits for the sea water level are available in the warnings on the sea water level.

WarningMaximum coverage of warningsProbabilities in useRisk level 1Risk level 2Risk level 3
Hot weather5 days30,70 %27° C30° C 
Cold weather5 days30,70 %-20/-25/-30° C-30/-35/-40° C 
Thunderstorm wind gusts2 days20,40 %15 m/s25 m/s30 m/s
Rain3 days30,70 %50 mm/24 h70 mm/24 h 
Wind warning for sea areas3 days30,70 %14 m/s (only May–October)21 m/s33 m/s
Wind warning for land areas3 days30,70 %20 m/s25 m/s30 m/s
Sea water level3 days30,70 %regionalregionalregional
Rough waves3 days30,70 %2.5 m (only May–October)4 m7 m
Traffic weather3 days30,70 %  very bad 

 

Check the up-to-date warnings on the warnings page.

 

Photo: Destruction after the Asta storm , Marita Waenerberg, Itä-Savo.